2-1 today adding 2.9 units to the books
25-17-2 56.8% (+35.25 units) +$7,050.00
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Sunday, January 31, 2010
NCAAB 1.31
Take:
Tennessee -8 (1 units)
against Florida
South Florida +3 (2 units)
against Pittsburgh
Ohio State -7.5 (1 unit)
against Minnesota
Tennessee -8 (1 units)
against Florida
South Florida +3 (2 units)
against Pittsburgh
Ohio State -7.5 (1 unit)
against Minnesota
Saturday, January 30, 2010
Record
Pretty good day here adding 4 units to the books (+$800.00). 3-0 and only one of those bets was close! Nice....but...
**Just because this was a good day, and I have been doing well does not mean I am on a streak. I've been doing this a while guys. If you are betting good money get the idea that you or anyone else is on a streak out of your head. Let's keep betting within our means. My goal is to provide a consistent upwards winning trend.
Remember, none of this is based on luck although lady luck will have her way now and then. Another goal of mine here is to share my knowledge and some of my methods with you. If you guys have any requests or questions I can try to do a write up on one of those things. Have a nice evening!
Record:
23-16-2 56.1% (+32.35 units) +$6,470.00
**Just because this was a good day, and I have been doing well does not mean I am on a streak. I've been doing this a while guys. If you are betting good money get the idea that you or anyone else is on a streak out of your head. Let's keep betting within our means. My goal is to provide a consistent upwards winning trend.
Remember, none of this is based on luck although lady luck will have her way now and then. Another goal of mine here is to share my knowledge and some of my methods with you. If you guys have any requests or questions I can try to do a write up on one of those things. Have a nice evening!
Record:
23-16-2 56.1% (+32.35 units) +$6,470.00
Test
Hey guys,
This is a test for feedburner. I have some picks on the site today. One of the games is done (winner), and I have two for later today. If you do not wish to receive my picks just let me know. I appreciate the new subscribers.
Would you guys like me to burn every pick or just write ups, and maybe the larger picks? Just a suggestion for people: I have NO guarantees for any of these plays so if you do anything with them do it at your own risk.
This site has picks for entertainment purposes only and informative write ups. If you know me you probably are waiting for MLB to start. Until then I am going to try to post little blurbs about my system. My promise to you is that this site will always be free 100%. Free information and free picks.
Cheers!
Tom
This is a test for feedburner. I have some picks on the site today. One of the games is done (winner), and I have two for later today. If you do not wish to receive my picks just let me know. I appreciate the new subscribers.
Would you guys like me to burn every pick or just write ups, and maybe the larger picks? Just a suggestion for people: I have NO guarantees for any of these plays so if you do anything with them do it at your own risk.
This site has picks for entertainment purposes only and informative write ups. If you know me you probably are waiting for MLB to start. Until then I am going to try to post little blurbs about my system. My promise to you is that this site will always be free 100%. Free information and free picks.
Cheers!
Tom
NCAA 1.30
Take:
Arkansas St. -1.5 (1 unit)
against Denver
Louisville +7 (2 units)
against West Virginia
Southwest Missouri State +2 (1 unit)
against Northern Iowa
20-16-2 52.6% (+28.35 units) +$5,670.00
Arkansas St. -1.5 (1 unit)
against Denver
Louisville +7 (2 units)
against West Virginia
Southwest Missouri State +2 (1 unit)
against Northern Iowa
20-16-2 52.6% (+28.35 units) +$5,670.00
Thursday, January 28, 2010
2010 NFL Mock Draft
My first round NFL Mock Draft:
1. St. Louis Rams: Dez Bryant, WR, Ok State
This is a team desperately in need of an offensive playmaker. Bryant is one of the best. I know this one sounds crazy, but it might be crazy enough to work.
2. Detroit Lions: Eric Berry, S, UT
The Lions could use a second playmaker next to Louis Delmas.
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Russell Okung, OT, Ok State
Freeman is their QB of the future. They need to protect Freeman.
4. Washington Redskins: Jimmy Clausen, QB, Notre Dame
After trying to trade for Jay Cutler, Synder wants a new franchise quarterback. Jason Campbell isn't cutting it.
5. Kansas City Chiefs: Ndamukong Suh, DT, Nebraska
Best player in the draft. The Chiefs need a playmaker, and Suh provides them with that.
6. Seattle Seahawks: Sam Bradford, QB, Oklahoma
New coach, new quarterback. Hasselbeck is getting up there in age. Plus they have another pick in the first round to address other needs.
7. Cleveland Browns: C.J. Spiller, RB, Clemson
This is a team built to run the ball, but they don't have a running back. Don't be fooled by Jerome Harrison's late season surge. He's better suited as the second back in a two back system.
8. Oakland Raiders: Gerald McCoy, DT, OU
*Insert Al Davis joke here* Seriously, the Raiders spend a lot of money on their tackles, but get little production. Look for one of the overpaid starters to get cut.
9. Buffalo Bills: Bruce Campbell, OT, Maryland
Trading away Jason Peters doesn't look so good now does it?
10. Jacksonville Jaguars: Rolando McClain, ILB, Alabama
In need of an impact player on defense.
11. Denver Broncos (Chicago): Joe Haden, CB, Florida
Oh, what could have been for da Bears...
12. Miami Dolphins: Arrelious Benn, WR, ILL
Too early? Probably. However, I've seen Benn play in person a couple of times. This kid is the real deal.
13. San Francisco 49ers: Anthony Davis, T, Rutgers
Staley is a mainstay on the left side, but this team hasn't been able to replace Marvel Smith on the right.
14. Seattle Seahawks (Denver): Derrick Morgan, DE, Georgia Tech
This team only had 28 sacks in 2009.
15. New York Giants: Brian Price, DT, UCLA
Defensive tackle is a need and this a premium position. Look for Reese to take this value pick.
16. Tennessee Titans Everson Griffen, DE, USC
Jevon Kearse is done. This team is going to be looking for their new "Freak".
17. San Francisco 49ers: Tim Tebow, QB, Florida
Shaun Hill? Alex Smith? No and No. Tebow fits in well with Mike Singletary's physical, pound the rock team mentality.
18. Pittsburgh Steelers: Bryan Bulaga, OT, Iowa
This team still allows too many sacks. Sure Big Ben is one of the best at avoiding them, but think of what he could do with a line.
19. Atlanta Falcons: Donovan Warren, CB, Michigan
Desperately need help in the secondary.
20. Houston Texans: Taylor Mays, S, USC
Mays probably made a mistake coming back to school. However, he is the hardest hitter in the draft.
21. Cincinnati Bengals: Dan Williams, NT, Tennessee
Every team could use more beef in the middle.
22. New England Patriots: Jerry Hughes, DE/OLB, TCU
Aging defense that can't get to the quarterback consistently. Hughes could help them.
23. Green Bay Packers: Charles Brown, OT, USC
Aaron Rodgers is one of the premier young quarterbacks in the league. Give him a better line, and he could be one the best period.
24. Philadelphia Eagles: Jason Pierre-Paul, DE, South Florida
Good positional value here. Boom or bust type player.
25. Baltimore Ravens: Damian Williams, WR, USC
In the Ravens' playoff loss to the Colts, their inept passing attack was exposed. Flacco finally gets another weapon.
26. Arizona Cardinals: Jermaine Gresham, TE, Oklahoma
Two great receivers, why not add a great tight end?
27. Dallas Cowboys: Terrence Cody, DT, Alabama
Allows Ratliff to move to end in their 3-4 scheme.
28. San Diego Chargers: Jahvid Best, RB, CAL
L.T. is done in San Diego. While Sproles is good, he's not an every down back.
29. New York Jets: Jared Odrick, DE/DT, Penn State
Another piece for Rex Ryan's vaulted defense.
30. Minnesota Vikings: Chad Jones, FS, LSU
Madieu Williams is overpaid and under performing.
31. New Orleans Saints: Carlos Dunlap, DE, Florida
Another weapon for their greatly improved defense.
32. Indianapolis Colts: Greg Hardy, DE, Ole Miss
Mathis and Freeney can't stay productive and healthy forever.
VegasInvestor Free Picks
1. St. Louis Rams: Dez Bryant, WR, Ok State
This is a team desperately in need of an offensive playmaker. Bryant is one of the best. I know this one sounds crazy, but it might be crazy enough to work.
2. Detroit Lions: Eric Berry, S, UT
The Lions could use a second playmaker next to Louis Delmas.
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Russell Okung, OT, Ok State
Freeman is their QB of the future. They need to protect Freeman.
4. Washington Redskins: Jimmy Clausen, QB, Notre Dame
After trying to trade for Jay Cutler, Synder wants a new franchise quarterback. Jason Campbell isn't cutting it.
5. Kansas City Chiefs: Ndamukong Suh, DT, Nebraska
Best player in the draft. The Chiefs need a playmaker, and Suh provides them with that.
6. Seattle Seahawks: Sam Bradford, QB, Oklahoma
New coach, new quarterback. Hasselbeck is getting up there in age. Plus they have another pick in the first round to address other needs.
7. Cleveland Browns: C.J. Spiller, RB, Clemson
This is a team built to run the ball, but they don't have a running back. Don't be fooled by Jerome Harrison's late season surge. He's better suited as the second back in a two back system.
8. Oakland Raiders: Gerald McCoy, DT, OU
*Insert Al Davis joke here* Seriously, the Raiders spend a lot of money on their tackles, but get little production. Look for one of the overpaid starters to get cut.
9. Buffalo Bills: Bruce Campbell, OT, Maryland
Trading away Jason Peters doesn't look so good now does it?
10. Jacksonville Jaguars: Rolando McClain, ILB, Alabama
In need of an impact player on defense.
11. Denver Broncos (Chicago): Joe Haden, CB, Florida
Oh, what could have been for da Bears...
12. Miami Dolphins: Arrelious Benn, WR, ILL
Too early? Probably. However, I've seen Benn play in person a couple of times. This kid is the real deal.
13. San Francisco 49ers: Anthony Davis, T, Rutgers
Staley is a mainstay on the left side, but this team hasn't been able to replace Marvel Smith on the right.
14. Seattle Seahawks (Denver): Derrick Morgan, DE, Georgia Tech
This team only had 28 sacks in 2009.
15. New York Giants: Brian Price, DT, UCLA
Defensive tackle is a need and this a premium position. Look for Reese to take this value pick.
16. Tennessee Titans Everson Griffen, DE, USC
Jevon Kearse is done. This team is going to be looking for their new "Freak".
17. San Francisco 49ers: Tim Tebow, QB, Florida
Shaun Hill? Alex Smith? No and No. Tebow fits in well with Mike Singletary's physical, pound the rock team mentality.
18. Pittsburgh Steelers: Bryan Bulaga, OT, Iowa
This team still allows too many sacks. Sure Big Ben is one of the best at avoiding them, but think of what he could do with a line.
19. Atlanta Falcons: Donovan Warren, CB, Michigan
Desperately need help in the secondary.
20. Houston Texans: Taylor Mays, S, USC
Mays probably made a mistake coming back to school. However, he is the hardest hitter in the draft.
21. Cincinnati Bengals: Dan Williams, NT, Tennessee
Every team could use more beef in the middle.
22. New England Patriots: Jerry Hughes, DE/OLB, TCU
Aging defense that can't get to the quarterback consistently. Hughes could help them.
23. Green Bay Packers: Charles Brown, OT, USC
Aaron Rodgers is one of the premier young quarterbacks in the league. Give him a better line, and he could be one the best period.
24. Philadelphia Eagles: Jason Pierre-Paul, DE, South Florida
Good positional value here. Boom or bust type player.
25. Baltimore Ravens: Damian Williams, WR, USC
In the Ravens' playoff loss to the Colts, their inept passing attack was exposed. Flacco finally gets another weapon.
26. Arizona Cardinals: Jermaine Gresham, TE, Oklahoma
Two great receivers, why not add a great tight end?
27. Dallas Cowboys: Terrence Cody, DT, Alabama
Allows Ratliff to move to end in their 3-4 scheme.
28. San Diego Chargers: Jahvid Best, RB, CAL
L.T. is done in San Diego. While Sproles is good, he's not an every down back.
29. New York Jets: Jared Odrick, DE/DT, Penn State
Another piece for Rex Ryan's vaulted defense.
30. Minnesota Vikings: Chad Jones, FS, LSU
Madieu Williams is overpaid and under performing.
31. New Orleans Saints: Carlos Dunlap, DE, Florida
Another weapon for their greatly improved defense.
32. Indianapolis Colts: Greg Hardy, DE, Ole Miss
Mathis and Freeney can't stay productive and healthy forever.
VegasInvestor Free Picks
Wednesday, January 27, 2010
Sunday, January 24, 2010
NFL Gameday then off to the Pro Bowl
Big day in the NFL, and I have a couple of big bets. Something to remember though: the NFL postseason or the super bowl games are games like any other. Wager within your limits. We'll have plenty more bets to be taking. You all have a nice day, and enjoy those games.
Take:
New York Jets +9 (3 units)
NO Saints -3 (5 units)
Tease: New York Jets +15.5 and Saints +3.5 (1 unit)
Take:
New York Jets +9 (3 units)
NO Saints -3 (5 units)
Tease: New York Jets +15.5 and Saints +3.5 (1 unit)
Play Unders for Game Total Wagers?
First of all this is just an idea floating around in my head, and should not only be used as food for thought. I have noticed a trend over the past 1-2 years that would have made you rich. I do not; however, have any reason to believe that the trend will continue.
Game totals are a funny thing that I am always thinking about, and there are a million ways to go about it. The first question (and this is what got me thinking) is what defines a high scoring or a low scoring game in any sport? You may initially think that it would be some average since the first game of the sport played, and this is for the most part true; but why should you really be interested in that if you are making a wager? Consider these recent records:
Under/over
NFL: 136-123
NBA: 322-301
NHL: 387-342
NCAAF: 397-361
NCAABB: 765-722
MLB: 1217-1087
My modeling typically shows the value is on the unders and dogs. Unfortunately you can get stretches of time where the overs come in like clockwork. Had a stretch in the NBA this season as a matter of fact. I would like to rethink the way I am doing this blogsite, and I thought that it would be good to inform you guys as best I can how an investor thinks so you can do it to.
Saturday, January 23, 2010
1/23
Take:
NBA:
Charlotte Bobcats +2 (2 units) $400
***HALFTIME***
Adding:
Old Dominion -5 (5 units) $1000
17-15-1 51.5% (+25.65 units) +$5,130.00
NBA:
Charlotte Bobcats +2 (2 units) $400
***HALFTIME***
Adding:
Old Dominion -5 (5 units) $1000
17-15-1 51.5% (+25.65 units) +$5,130.00
Saturday, January 16, 2010
Monday, January 11, 2010
Friday, January 8, 2010
Thursday, January 7, 2010
Texas
Take:
Texas +5.5 against Alabama (4 units) $800.00
Teaser: Texas +11.5 and Texas/Alabama under52 (1 unit) $200.00
Record:
13-11-1 52% (+21.7 units) +$4340.00
Texas +5.5 against Alabama (4 units) $800.00
Teaser: Texas +11.5 and Texas/Alabama under52 (1 unit) $200.00
Record:
13-11-1 52% (+21.7 units) +$4340.00
Tuesday, January 5, 2010
12/5
Take:
IND/ORL u210 (4 units) $800.00
Bucks -1 (3 units) $600.00
Dallas -8.5 (2 units) $400.00
Warriors +9 (2 units) $400.00
Magic -9 (1 unit) $200.00
Lakers -7 (3 units) $600.00
Record:
7-9-1 41.1% (+5 units) +$1000.00
IND/ORL u210 (4 units) $800.00
Bucks -1 (3 units) $600.00
Dallas -8.5 (2 units) $400.00
Warriors +9 (2 units) $400.00
Magic -9 (1 unit) $200.00
Lakers -7 (3 units) $600.00
Record:
7-9-1 41.1% (+5 units) +$1000.00
Sunday, January 3, 2010
1/3 Sunday NFL/NBA
Take:
NFL:
New York Jets -9.5 (6 units)$1200.00
New York Jets/Cincinnati Bengals u35.5 (1 unit)$200.00
NBA:
Denver Nuggets -4 (1 unit) $200.00
San Antonio Spurs -3 (1 unit) $200.00
Record:
6-6-1 46.1% (+2.3 units) +$460.00
NFL:
New York Jets -9.5 (6 units)$1200.00
New York Jets/Cincinnati Bengals u35.5 (1 unit)$200.00
NBA:
Denver Nuggets -4 (1 unit) $200.00
San Antonio Spurs -3 (1 unit) $200.00
Record:
6-6-1 46.1% (+2.3 units) +$460.00
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